You keep me in the dark
Until the difference from the truth
Becomes evident and stark
You play me around
Like a dog fetching the Frisbee
On the whistle’s sound
You give me false hope
Only to be disappointed like a person
Rappelling left with a cut rope
Why can’t you come clean?
Stop giving lame excuses and
For once just spill the bean
Because I am tired of being pushed around
Listening to same lines and
Being treated like a hound
Lets start with the team which has already made to semis :
Delhi is already in to semis with 16 points and four matches left because even if they lose all matches they will still make to semis
Chennai with 13 points and 3 matches left including one against KKR are favorites to go through
Rajasthan with 13 points have two matches including one against KKR so they are also looking good
Lets have a look at teams which have matches against Delhi and Chennai, two strong but not invincible side as shown by Bangalore today.
Mumbai to go through has to win its remaining two matches against DD and CSK and still rely on other teams on not winning to go through.
Punjab needs to win against Deccan to have any real chance of going through.But it is only necessary condition but not sufficient because they have to still hope that Deccan does not win its remaining matches. With its matches against DD and CSK it is a tall task.
Bangalore need to win against Deccan because a loss there would concede them points and poor Run Rate of Bangalore will force them out.
In order to go to the semis Deccan has one thing clear
Three straight wins guarantee semi final spot
Two wins from 3 games is sufficient to see them through in most case if they win against
1) Bangalore and Punjab both as both team will be left with 14 points at max then while Deccan will have 16 and MI will have 15 max
2)or Kolkata and Bangalore/Punjab on the basis of run rate (unless there is any dramatic change in run rates)
If it loses all three it is certainly out of semis as Bangalore,Delhi ,Chennai and Rajasthan will have more points.
Only scenario which can lead to multiple outcome for Deccan is single win,then it has to rely on Delhi and Chennai to beat its competitors.
Next three matches are important as they are decider for the semis berth :-
DD vs. Punjab : Must win for Punjab otherwise they have to rely too much on their luck to go through
Mumbai vs. CSK : Must win for Mumbai else they are certainly out
DC vs. KKR : DC must defeat KKR to make it easy for themselves
Watch out for rain and KKR , they can certainly make somebody else’s life miserable if they prevail.
So lets see how things play out.
